Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has scored 27.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.8 higher than he's scored over the course of the year.
Collin Sexton has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season.
The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Utah Jazz have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Jazz check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
While on their home court, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 foul shots per game this year when the Pelicans have the home court advantage (15th-least in the league).