Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has logged 26.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 more than he's logged over the course of the season.
Collin Sexton has made 62.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 29.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Collin Sexton has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 4.7 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Jazz have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Utah Jazz.

Favors Under

The Jazz have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year.
The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (24.8%).
Collin Sexton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production across the board.

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