Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-155/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Collin Sexton measures in the 76th percentile, compiling a massive 14.6 points per game while playing on the road this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (27th-highest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, creating a good matchup.
The Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Collin Sexton has converted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have come down with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Collin Sexton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

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