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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Utah Jazz.

The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Collin Sexton has made 3.3 foul shots per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.

The matchup against the Detroit Pistons may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Collin Sexton has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's been called for overall this season.

In regard to offense, the Jazz's subpar 106.9 points per game when playing on the road measures as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one for threes; the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%).

Collin Sexton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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