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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2023

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Collin Sexton has attempted 13.7 field goals per game over the last 11 games, 4.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Collin Sexton has successfully made 48.3% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 11.3% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

Collin Sexton has tallied 28.2 minutes per game over the last 11 games, 4.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season.

This matchup is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Collin Sexton has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease possessions for the Jazz.

While on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 26.8 free throws per game over the last 25 games (3rd-least in the league).

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