Collin Sexton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has successfully made 52.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 13.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 7.6 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a good matchup.
The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Collin Sexton comes in at the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
With respect to three-point shots, the Utah Jazz's poor 31.4% rate of converted threes away from home comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Collin Sexton will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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