Collin Sexton Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has put up 6.2 assists per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.4 more than he's put up over the course of the year on the road.
The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Collin Sexton comes in at the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
Collin Sexton will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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