Collin Sexton Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Assists

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+139/-194).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -166 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -194.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has tallied 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The 5th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (77th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Utah Jazz.
Collin Sexton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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