Collin Sexton Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Utah Jazz.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league away from their home court with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have come down with 9.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).
Collin Sexton will likely get a boost in output across the board in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has played a mere 18.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 23.4 minutes per game last year.

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