Cole Anthony Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Cole Anthony

G · Orlando Magic

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Cole Anthony Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cole Anthony has attempted 6.0 treys per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Cole Anthony has played 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Cole Anthony has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (89th percentile).
This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Pelicans are playing at home, their opposition have compiled the 8th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA against them this year (36.2%).
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Cole Anthony will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player performance in all stat categories.