Cody Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2024

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Cody Williams

NBA · Player Props

Cody Williams

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz · Nov 7, 2024

Updated Nov 7, 2024 10:44 PM UTC

Analysis

Cody Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have posted 19.8 points per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The 6th-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 8th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Cody Williams ranks in the 16th percentile for scoring efficiency away from his home court with a poor 33.6% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Cody Williams places in the 11th percentile for 3-point performance with a subpar 8.3% rate since the start of last season.
The Jazz rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
Cody Williams will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production for all stats.

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