Clint Capela Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 2:37 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Clint Capela has totaled a whopping 4.8 offensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.9 offensive rebounds per game last season.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Atlanta Hawks will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Kings).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, the other team has collected 9.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Clint Capela has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (85th percentile).
Clint Capela figures to suffer a drop-off in output across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

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