Clint Capela Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Clint Capela has averaged a terrific 5.0 offensive boards per game this season, a big improvement over his 3.9 offensive boards per game last season.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Clint Capela has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive boards per game (most in the league) against the Indiana Pacers (preserving possessions that can spark extra chances for offense).
Clint Capela will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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