Clint Capela Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 8:13 PM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Clint Capela has posted a terrific 4.9 offensive boards per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 3.9 offensive boards per game last year.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Hawks will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the fastest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Wizards).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 15thbest in in the NBA while playing on the road with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Clint Capela ranks in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.7 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
Clint Capela will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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