Clint Capela Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 12:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Clint Capela has averaged 11.8 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 99th percentile.
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Clint Capela will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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