Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2024

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 29, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 3:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Clint Capela has converted 69.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.7% more than he's put through the net overall this season.
The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a strong one; he has given up a whopping 17.4 points per game when facing opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Hawks are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 2nd-best in the NBA as the road team with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Clint Capela slots into the 4th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a bad 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Clint Capela will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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