Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 2:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Hawks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a favorable one for threes; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 52.2% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile).
The Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
Clint Capela should see a spike in productivity for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Clint Capela lands in the 4th percentile for three-point performance with a feeble 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Clint Capela has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Hawks are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Miami Heat).
The Hawks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

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