Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2024

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 30, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 2:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Clint Capela has successfully made 69.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 9.7% higher than he's made in all games this year on his home court.
The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 12.3 field goals per game (100th percentile).
The Hawks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace offense in the league this year (the Bucks).
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Clint Capela should see a rise in output in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Clint Capela measures in the 6th percentile for three-point attempts while on his home court, compiling 0.0 per game this year.
Clint Capela has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The 8th-slowest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Brook Lopez has been very low this year (2.4 foul shot attempts per game: 3rd percentile).

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