Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Deandre Ayton is a good one for 3-point shots; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have totaled a whopping 1.0 three-point shots per game (100th percentile).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Clint Capela has successfully made 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's made in all games this season on the road.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Clint Capela ranks in the 4th percentile for 3-point ability with a bad 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Clint Capela has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Hawks rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The 4th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Hawks.

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