Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The clash with Jarrett Allen registers in the 96th percentile with the other side's starting Cs nailing a massive 50.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc this year when they are at home.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Jarrett Allen has been quite high this year (4.9 free throws per game when they have the home court advantage: 96th percentile).

Favors Under

Clint Capela has successfully made 0.0% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Clint Capela has attempted 0.0 treys per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Clint Capela has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Hawks rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.