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Clint Capela

Clint Capela Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Clint Capela has sunk a whopping 60.9% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 67.2 rate last year.

The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).

The 2nd-fastest pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are at home, opposing squads have captured 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Clint Capela has sunk 0.0% of his 3-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Clint Capela has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

The Hawks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

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