Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Spurs is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.7%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hawks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 15thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Away from home, the Spurs have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Clint Capela has made a lowly 56.9% of his field goal attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 65.6 rate last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Clint Capela lands in the 5th percentile for three-point performance without the home court advantage with a a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
The Hawks check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. San Antonio may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Spurs are away from home (5th-least in the NBA).
Clint Capela is expected to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats due to being on the road in this contest.