Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:42 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The New York Knicks have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Clint Capela has successfully made an impressive 75.0% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit more than his 61.8 mark last year.
Clint Capela should see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Clint Capela has successfully made just 54.7% of his shots from the field this season, a sizeable decrease from his 65.6 rate last season.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting Cs have compiled 12.5 points per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Knicks).
The matchup against New York is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 3.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Knicks are on their home court (8th-least in the league).

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