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Clint Capela

Clint Capela Points
Player Prop - 11/9/2023

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Clint Capela has made a whopping 5.3 baskets per game this season, a significant increase from his 5.3 rate last season.

The 5th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Hawks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Magic are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (0.9).

Clint Capela has sunk a measly 68.8% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 60.1 rate last year.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (11th-lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Clint Capela will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production across the board.

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