Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have shot 63.9% on field goals (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a positive matchup.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 8thbest in in the league when playing at home with 11.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team (26th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Clint Capela has successfully made 0.0% of his 3-point shots when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Clint Capela lands in the 4th percentile for three-point attempts while at home, totaling 0.0 per game since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league with the home court advantage since the start of last season in regard to three-point attempts.
The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Clint Capela will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production across the board.