Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 11, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Clint Capela has converted 74.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.7% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Clint Capela has made a whopping 63.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, a big improvement over his 47.0 mark last year.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (12.1).
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (14th-least in the league).
Clint Capela will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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