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Clint Capela

Clint Capela Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Clint Capela has successfully made 74.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 8.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Clint Capela has converted a whopping 63.8% of his foul shots this year, significantly higher than his 47.0 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Bulls may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted an enormous 6.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (30th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a difficult one for threes; the opposition's starting Cs have put up the 13th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.5%).

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease possessions for the Hawks.

With the home court advantage, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Atlanta Hawks have been bad at getting to the free throw line: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 22.4 foul shots per game.

Clint Capela will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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