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Clint Capela

Clint Capela Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Clint Capela has sunk 82.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 16.9% more than he's made overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a measly 3.0 foul shots per game this year when the Timberwolves are playing at home (10th-least in the league).

Clint Capela will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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