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Clint Capela

Clint Capela Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Clint Capela has converted 63.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted an enormous 3.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (22nd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Clint Capela has sunk 0.0% of his three-point shots this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 10th-least aggressive offense in the league on the road this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (10.0).

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a hard one for three-point shots; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a lowly 23.0% of their attempts from downtown (4th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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