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Clint Capela

Clint Capela Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Clint Capela has successfully made 63.7% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 7.7% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing away from home.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 3.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (22nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Clint Capela has sunk 0.0% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 3rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 10th-least aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (10.0).

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a hard one for treys; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a measly 23.0% of their attempts from beyond the arc (8th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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