Clint Capela Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Clint Capela

NBA · Player Props

Clint Capela

C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 6:43 PM UTC

Analysis

Clint Capela Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Clint Capela has successfully made 62.5% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a strong one for shots from the field; the other team's starting Cs have put up the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (61.3%).
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Clint Capela has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Favors Under

Clint Capela has converted 0.0% of his three-point shots with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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