CJ McCollum Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has averaged 32.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 6.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).
CJ McCollum should see an increase in output across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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