CJ McCollum Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 1:25 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has averaged 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games.
CJ McCollum has tallied 31.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 9.4 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies (losing possessions that could otherwise produce extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 10thworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
CJ McCollum will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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