CJ McCollum Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has totaled 3.7 defensive boards per game this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric recently.
CJ McCollum has played 31.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have brought down 12.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
CJ McCollum should suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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