CJ McCollum Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has tallied 3.7 defensive boards per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard recently.
CJ McCollum has averaged 31.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Pelicans will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
Playing at home, the Bucks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum should suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from home in this game.

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