CJ McCollum Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has posted 5.2 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's posted over the course of the year on the road.
CJ McCollum has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's been called for overall this season at home.
The Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are away from home, the other team has snagged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).
CJ McCollum will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player performance for all stats.

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