CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 22, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has attempted 18.5 shots from the field per game this year, significantly more than his 16.0 mark last year.
CJ McCollum has made 3.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season on the road.
CJ McCollum has averaged 33.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.8).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum registers in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.3 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.
CJ McCollum will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

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