CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has attempted 18.5 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 16.0 mark last season.
Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.3 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The 5th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Denver may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (83rd percentile).
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league on the road this year.
The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (20.5%).
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from facing the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
CJ McCollum has sunk just 72.4% of his free throws this season, significantly lower than his 84.8 mark last season.

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