CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2025

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 3, 2025

Updated Feb 4, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 16.0 mark, CJ McCollum's shots taken have increased this season to 18.4 per game.
CJ McCollum has played 33.2 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year.
In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's subpar 105.2 points per game when playing away from home ranks 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (20.5%).
CJ McCollum has made just 71.5% of his foul shots this season, a sizeable decrease from his 84.8 mark last season.
CJ McCollum will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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