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CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 95th percentile for shots away from home, registering 18.1 per game this year.Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 33.2 minutes per game away from home this year.The 5th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.The Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Compared to last season's 3.4 clip, CJ McCollum's three-pointers hit have fallen this season to 2.8 per game.CJ McCollum has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's poor 105.1 points per game comes in as the lowest in the league this year.This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have shot 24.8% on three-pointers (worst in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, designating this as a difficult matchup.CJ McCollum will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.
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