CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 33.6 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 37.5% on threes (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, marking this as a positive matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which ought to lead to more possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The Pelicans rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has made just 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 3.4 rate last year.
CJ McCollum has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The Pelicans have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
In contrast to last year's 84.8% clip, CJ McCollum's foul-shot efficiency has fallen this year to 66.2%.
CJ McCollum will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance across the board.

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