CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has attempted 16.4 shots from the field per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
CJ McCollum has sunk 3.2 three-point shots per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 32.9 minutes per game at home since the start of last season.
The Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum stands to see an increase in output across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Toronto is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.3).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Raptors, struggling to get to the foul line.