CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has attempted 22.1 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
CJ McCollum has attempted 10.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
CJ McCollum has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's played overall this season.
The Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.8 foul shots per game (highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA as the away team over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on threes (9th-weakest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a difficult matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pelicans will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
CJ McCollum is expected to see a decline in production in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

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