CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum measures in the 98th percentile for threes made, compiling 3.3 per game this year.
CJ McCollum has averaged 31.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
As it relates to shooting, the Pelicans's fantastic 117.7 points per game as the road team places 7th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has attempted a mere 14.6 shots from the field per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 17.9 rate last season.
Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have put up 15.2 points per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Heat, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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