CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.1 minutes per game while at home this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum is expected to see an increase in production across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 17.9 mark, CJ McCollum's shots have fallen this season to 14.8 per game.
The Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pelicans.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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