CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.6 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a good matchup.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has attempted a measly 14.8 shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 17.9 rate last year.
CJ McCollum has attempted and missed 5.6 attempts from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's missed from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing away from home.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

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