CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 88th percentile for shots, tallying 14.9 per game this year.
In contrast to last season's 2.8 clip, CJ McCollum's three-pointers hit have spiked this season to 3.4 per game.
Out of all players in the league, CJ McCollum places in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.5 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league while playing away from home this year has been the Pelicans.
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have posted 17.1 points per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, making this a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 5th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Raptors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Toronto may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage (11th-least in the NBA).