CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has posted 23.8 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 4.2 higher than he's posted over the course of the year at home.
CJ McCollum has converted 4.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season while playing at home.
CJ McCollum has averaged 32.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pelicans.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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