CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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CJ McCollum

NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 3:15 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has attempted and missed 7.8 shots from the field per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 10.1 rate last year.
Relative to last year's 2.8 mark, CJ McCollum's threes converted have jumped this year to 3.5 per game.
CJ McCollum has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 29.8% on 3-pointers (13th-lowest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, marking this as a hard matchup.
The Pelicans are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
CJ McCollum will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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