CJ McCollum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 10.1 rate, CJ McCollum's missed field goals have dropped this year to 7.9 per game.
CJ McCollum has made an impressive 3.4 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 2.8 mark last year.
Among all players in the league, CJ McCollum lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 30.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against Houston is a challenging one; when the Houston Rockets are playing at home, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has snagged 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (lengthening possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, making it tough to draw fouls.
CJ McCollum will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production across the board.